Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.840726 0.946431 1.061590 1.196570 1.350712 1.521548 1.725648
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.674332 0.816228 0.983595 1.196450 1.461199 1.781255 2.199900
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.573178 0.727002 0.918032 1.174367 1.511848 1.944444 2.546497
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.519960 0.685637 0.900433 1.201991 1.618687 2.180392 3.005400
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.464227 0.632279 0.858135 1.187532 1.661788 2.329238 3.356305
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.427525 0.599497 0.838247 1.198728 1.737630 2.526811 3.794982
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.389156 0.559825 0.803642 1.183250 1.770109 2.660739 4.149167
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.358709 0.528315 0.777096 1.175637 1.811368 2.809057 4.539438
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.321837 0.483755 0.726758 1.125834 1.780125 2.837706 4.733311
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.305740 0.469344 0.720779 1.144540 1.859566 3.051826 5.264686
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.291973 0.457244 0.717036 1.165837 1.944279 3.281782 5.849670
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.276506 0.441055 0.705156 1.171982 2.002755 3.470819 6.380721
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.260890 0.423776 0.690657 1.173279 2.054497 3.656236 6.935081
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.248699 0.411296 0.683207 1.186219 2.128543 3.890574 7.616996
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.231515 0.388940 0.656960 1.162777 2.132086 3.990733 8.037492
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.224079 0.382895 0.658582 1.190295 2.234781 4.293604 8.922412
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.210898 0.365690 0.638936 1.175968 2.253902 4.430573 9.464516
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.202495 0.356446 0.632940 1.187046 2.324421 4.679621 10.290007
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.191147 0.341009 0.614338 1.171734 2.339094 4.811854 10.862456
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.181703 0.328473 0.600270 1.164202 2.369104 4.979875 11.542544
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.167807 0.306654 0.567007 1.114932 2.305108 4.932818 11.687729
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.163011 0.301942 0.566548 1.133438 2.390635 5.232853 12.749822
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.158775 0.298019 0.567322 1.154508 2.483746 5.560436 13.931940